The FSA Spy market buzz – 1 November 2024
Battleshares’ old versus new, Goldman Sachs’ Cassandra warning, Hong Kong property’s negative equity woes, Ninety One’s trillion-dollar question, Contrarian alert from CB, Lists and much more.
Introduction
“Value investing” has been unfashionable since the 2008 global financial crisis; its flagging popularity has perhaps even induced doubts among the most ardent followers of its founder Benjamin Graham and his most famous acolyte, Warren Buffet.
The decade-long US equity bull market was led by glamorous and (arguably expensive) technology growth stocks, while staid “value stocks”, representing solid, well-run businesses with healthy balance sheets, shuffled behind.
For instance, the Russell 1000 Growth index generated 312% between 1 January 2010 and 1 January 2020, compared with 205% by the Russell 1000 Value index, according to FE Fundinfo data.
Yet, caution, fear and the end of the bull market this year in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic has done little to convert growth-cult members to the virtuous process of identifying stocks trading below “fair value”.
In fact, quite the opposite. The Russell 1000 Growth index is up 15.3% so far this year, while the Russell 1000 Value index is down 17.3%.
However, although sentiment for new technology stocks has been reinvigorated by predictions of an acceleration of online and virtual trends in a post-lockdown world, there is still a place for value investing, according to Isaac Poole, chief investment officer at Oreana Financial Services
FSA asked Poole to compare two US equity funds with value tilts: the JP Morgan US Value Fund and the Neuberger Berman US Multi Cap Opportunities Fund.
Battleshares’ old versus new, Goldman Sachs’ Cassandra warning, Hong Kong property’s negative equity woes, Ninety One’s trillion-dollar question, Contrarian alert from CB, Lists and much more.
Part of the Mark Allen Group.