The FSA Spy market buzz – 13 December 2024
M&G’s positive outlook; Wisdom from Schroders’s podcast; Alliance Bernstein on the power of curiosity; Janus Henderson on responsible AI; China’s retirement revolution; Apple and much more.
Chinese equities have generally been out of favour recently as investors hold concerns about slowing GDP growth, rising credit default rates and trade tensions with the US.
“GDP has slowed down a little bit over the past few years and investors have been allocating more toward the developed markets,” said Germaine Share, Hong Kong-based associate director for manager research at Morningstar.
According to FE data, the MSCI China Index underperformed the broader emerging market index in 2016.
However, beginning in 2017, performance turned, with the China index beating the EM index:
Discreet annual calendar performance
2018 |
2017 | 2016 |
2015 |
|
MSCI Emerging Markets |
-4.24 |
37.75 | 11.6 |
-14.6 |
MSCI China |
-1.87 |
54.33 | 1.11 |
-7.72 |
Share expects that 2018 will be a better environment for Chinese equities compared to last year.
“The source of growth for 2017 was concentrated in Tencent and Alibaba, and to some extent, Ping An Insurance.
“This year, we are seeing sources of alpha from a range of different sectors, so it will be a better environment for bottom-up stock pickers.”
Against this backdrop, FSA asked Share to look at two China equity funds, the BGF China Fund and the UBS (Lux) China Opportunity Fund.
BGF China Fund |
UBS China Opportunity Fund |
|
Size |
$1.5bn |
$6.5bn |
Inception |
June 2008 |
Nov 1996 |
Manager |
Helen Zhu |
Bin Shi |
Three-year annualised return |
5.79% |
15.96% |
Three-year annualised alpha |
6.23 |
16.23 |
Three-year volatility |
20.95 |
19.42 |
Morningstar analyst rating |
Neutral |
Bronze |
Morningstar star rating |
**** |
***** |
FE Crown fund rating |
** |
***** |
OCF |
1.84% |
2.39% |
M&G’s positive outlook; Wisdom from Schroders’s podcast; Alliance Bernstein on the power of curiosity; Janus Henderson on responsible AI; China’s retirement revolution; Apple and much more.
Part of the Mark Allen Group.