The FSA Spy market buzz – 22 February 2025
GMO excludes China; Diversity is rushing to the exit; What is a boutique? Pictet is thinking about families; Sands Capital likes software; JP Morgan’s tech spend; Defense VCs spending and much more.
Luke Ng, senior vice president of research at FE Advisory, argues that an investor’s choice of a global bond fund should largely be predicated on their outlook for the global – and especially the US – economy.
A stronger US economy might herald higher US interest rates, which would have a negative impact on funds with long durations: the prices of bonds with long maturity dates tend to move more for a given interest rate change than the prices of short-dated bonds.
“In this scenario, a defensive fund, with holdings concentrated in (high quality) short maturity bonds is the better option,” he said.
Alternatively, a weak US economy might prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, which would be a boon for funds invested in long-dated bonds.
FSA asked Ng to compare two US-denominated global funds that both aim to provide high returns, through a combination of income and capital growth, yet have adopted strategies at the opposite ends of the duration spectrum.
GMO excludes China; Diversity is rushing to the exit; What is a boutique? Pictet is thinking about families; Sands Capital likes software; JP Morgan’s tech spend; Defense VCs spending and much more.
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