The FSA Spy market buzz – 22 November 2024
Dimensional excludes the Middle Kingdom; JP Morgan’s optimistic outlook; Household wealth is rocketing; Schroders is thinking about privates; Ninety One’s pithy AI; German woes and much more.
Victoria Mio, China CIO at Robeco, said the firm’s active and quant teams have debated the issue.
“The asset management industry has raised a lot of concerns regarding the inclusion. Internally we have heated debates on major pros and cons of A-shares inclusion, between colleagues from active strategies and quantitative strategies,” she said.
The firm concludes that inclusion is an overall positive.
“Given there is a high chance for the inclusion, we have increased our exposure to A-shares. From both strategic and portfolio perspectives, we believe we are well-positioned to benefit from an A-shares inclusion,” she said.
Mio said the firm has been preparing for A-shares inclusion for quite some time, including setting up a new investment team in Shanghai last year.
“The inclusion, albeit a small one, would definitely boost sentiment. It would force global investors, particularly index-tracking funds, to invest onshore.”
The firm forecast that both A-shares and H-shares will deliver double-digit returns in 2017, based on its model that evaluates macro risk, valuations, earnings revisions and technical and sentiment factors, she added.
“This year we slightly favor H-share [investment] due to better earnings revisions, higher return on equity, stronger global fund flows, and better technicals.”
Dimensional excludes the Middle Kingdom; JP Morgan’s optimistic outlook; Household wealth is rocketing; Schroders is thinking about privates; Ninety One’s pithy AI; German woes and much more.
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