The FSA Spy market buzz – 1 November 2024
Battleshares’ old versus new, Goldman Sachs’ Cassandra warning, Hong Kong property’s negative equity woes, Ninety One’s trillion-dollar question, Contrarian alert from CB, Lists and much more.
Investors are reassessing their risk expectations about the Chinese property sector and Asian high yield credit in general in the wake of the Evergrande crisis
However, as Wai Mei Leong, a fixed income portfolio manager, points out in a recent paper, the Asian high yield bond market is no stranger to volatility, yet, the market has been able to deliver positive returns to investors over the long term.
Nevertheless, the turmoil which has extended to other highly indebted Chinese property companies, is likely to result in higher bond yields and wider spreads.
In this environment, investors will need to be more discerning while the aggressive “high growth-high leverage” business model pursued by many property developers may gradually become a thing of the past, according to Leong.
Although investors may expect higher default rates in the Asian high yield bond market, she believes that opportunities as the sector’s fundamentals gradually improve.
FSA asked Patrick Ge, analyst at Morningstar, to compare the two largest products in the Asia fixed income category: the Fidelity Asian High Yield Fund and the UBS Asian High Yield Fund.
Fidelity |
UBS |
|
Size |
$4.87bn |
$3.45bn |
Inception |
2007 |
2012 |
Managers |
Tae Ho Ryu, Terrence Pang, Peter Khan |
Ross Dilkes, Michael Fleisch, Hayden Briscoe |
Three-year cumulative return |
6.95% |
4.15% |
Three-year annualised return |
3.37% |
3.30% |
Three-year annualised alpha |
-3.72 |
-3.38 |
Three-year annualised volatility |
10.04% |
9.65% |
Three-year information ratio |
-0.19 |
-0.21 |
Credit rating |
BB |
BB- |
Morningstar star rating |
*** |
**** |
Morningstar analyst rating |
Neutral |
Neutral |
FE Crown fund rating |
** |
*** |
OCF (retail share class) |
1.39% |
1.46% |
Battleshares’ old versus new, Goldman Sachs’ Cassandra warning, Hong Kong property’s negative equity woes, Ninety One’s trillion-dollar question, Contrarian alert from CB, Lists and much more.
Part of the Mark Allen Group.