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Are Asia’s fund selectors good at choosing funds?

Some preliminary data is in, and the results are ripe for discussion.
Checklist and pen

How have private bank and wealth manager predictions of individual fund performance actually turned out? FSA’s Fund Management Awards have data that can be something like a report card for the region’s fund selectors.

FSA’s annual fund awards are free of charge (no pay-to-play) and emphasise objective methodology:

Fund selectors from banks and wealth managers are given a shortlist based on quantitative criteria, crunched by data partner FE. Using the shortlist, fund selectors and their teams choose the fund they believe will outperform peers in the next 12 months.

The 2019 awards voting finished in December. Seven months later, we looked at the returns of the award winners and found almost every fund selected as the future out-performer has beat both the sector and benchmark year-to-date (table below).

The singular exception was the Invesco Consumer Trends Fund, which has returned 21.95% versus the sector (22.91%). However, the product did beat the benchmark return of 21.05%.

The time frame for predicted out-performance — 12 months — has another volatile five months to go.

However, the preliminary results highlight the regional expertise of the fund selectors and their teams, as well as the substance of the FSA fund awards.

 

 Fund award winners in Hong Kong, YTD*

 

Category

 

 

Platinum winning fund

 

Fund Sector Benchmark
Asia Pacific Equity Schroder ISF Asian Opportunities 15.3% 12.6% 9.94%
Emerging Market Bond T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Bond 12.2% 9.24%
European Equity MFS Meridian European Value 17.03% 13.8% 15.6%
Global Bond Pimco GIS Global Investment Grade Credit 9.28% 6.14% 9.06%
Global Emerging Market Equity HSBC GIF Emerging Wealth 20.26% 12.9% 18.26%
Global Equity Morgan Stanley Global Opportunity 26.6% 16.7% 18.26%
Greater China/China Equity Investec All China Equity 23.7% 19.6% 21.1%
High Yield Value Partners Greater China High Yield Income 8.52% 7.8%
Japanese Equity Fidelity Japan Aggressive 13.8% 8.75% 7.95%
Mixed Asset Capital Group Global Allocation (LUX) 13.16% 9.66% 18.26%/5.05%*
Regional Bond BEA Union Investment Asian Bond and Currency 7.8% 7.79%
Regional/Single Country Emerging Market Equity J.P. Morgan Vietnam Opportunities 11.5% 11.35%
Sector Equity Invesco Consumer Trends** 21.95% 22.91% 21.05%
US Equity Morgan Stanley US Advantage 30.29% 21.49% 21.86%

 

Source: FE. In US dollars. SFC-registered funds. Year-to-date return to 29 July 2019. Where the benchmark performance is not given, either the fund does not use a benchmark or it is not available in FE database.
*The fund uses two benchmarks, one for equities (18.26%) and one for bonds (5.05%)
**Renamed from Invesco Global Leisure in December 2018

Part of the Mark Allen Group.